Chicken or The Egg? Forecast and Order Adjustments in Supply-Chain Planning

Speaker

Eirini Spiliotopoulou

Tilburg University

Abstract

Human judgment remains an essential element in supply chain planning. Forecasters create demand predictions, which become inputs into inventory plans. They also adjust these demand predictions based on their judgment. Inventory planners also adjust the resulting orders based on their judgment. Should firms allow forecasts or inventory orders to be adjusted? In a series of behavioral experiments, we compare forecast to order adjustments. Surprisingly, order adjustments are a better avenue to incorporate human judgment. We examine the causes of this difference and discuss its implications.

This seminar will take place in person in room T09-67. Alternatively, click here to join the seminar online via Zoom.

Meeting ID: 627 5078 2916