Dr J.C.M. (Joris) Kil

Joris Kil
Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)
Erasmus University Rotterdam
Former ERIM PhD Candidate
Field: Finance & Accounting
Affiliated since 2009

PhD Track Acquisitions Through a Behavioural and Real Options Lens

This thesis combines four studies that contribute to our understanding of corporate acquisitions by taking a behavioral and real options perspective. Chapter 2 classifies acquisitions based on real option characteristics and shows option type (single vs. compound) and option nature (shared vs. proprietary) influence the value and premium paid in acquisitions. Chapter 3 considers a specific serial acquisition strategy aimed at industry consolidation and finds higher premiums are paid for first deals in the sequence, showing part of the potential future value generated in the consolidation strategy is already reflected at the start. Chapter 4 takes a behavioral perspective and shows a stock’s historical high influences the risk firms take in their acquisitions. Firms with a larger deviation from their past stock price high initiate relatively larger deals, but are unsuccessful in their effort to return to prior stock price levels. Finally, chapter 5 merges real option theory, behavioral theory and acquisitions by considering the influence of executive level behavioral biases on the perception of acquisition outcome uncertainty. Given the uncertainties surrounding acquisitions, staging the investment through the initial purchase of a minority stake is beneficial as it allows deferring the full acquisition until outcome uncertainty has decreased. However, behavioral biases can cause disparities between perceived and actual uncertainty, resulting in inconsideration of a staged investment strategy. These insights provide a new explanation for the limited number of observed minority stake purchases prior to full-scale acquisitions.

Keywords
acquisitions; behavioral corporate finance; real option theory; minority stakes; acquisition premium; industry consolidation; prospect theory; reference point; 52-week high; uncertainty perception; behavioral biases
Time frame
2009 - 2013
2013
December
05
2011
September
08

Address

Visiting address

Office: H07-10
Burgemeester Oudlaan 50
3062 PA Rotterdam

Postal address

Postbus 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands